The Week in Review: 5.17.10 – 5.21.10
Markets took a beating this week. While there were a few other factors, such as a disappointing jobs report, the focus has been on the troubles in the Eurozone. The Dow ended the week down 4.01%, the S&P 4.23%, and the Nasdaq 5.01%.
We have noted that had one waited to sell until even significantly after Lehman Brothers’ collapse, he would have avoided the bulk of the losses of the markets. The markets were not perfectly “efficient,” allowing time to act even after the news broke.
The question now is, are we in a similar situation? Can we get out in front of the collapsing European markets? We are not sure that the analogy holds. Now, as opposed to in 2008, earnings reports are coming in strong from U.S. companies. The underlying fundamentals are solid. The recent dip may be a buying opportunity- not a selling one. Still, we are worried by the continuing issues in Europe.
This week’s factoid: the U.S. imports approximately 9,783,000 barrels of crude oil a day. Estimates put the oil spill at 5,000-90,000 barrels a day. Or, as our Senior Vice President put it, “They have no clue.”